Avalanche (AVAX) has needed help recovering its losses in this volatile crypto market. Compared to other Layer-1 (L1) blockchains, AVAX consolidation could have been faster, raising concerns about its future performance.

Despite this uncertainty, recent price action shows AVAX consolidation above the $19.80 support, trading at $22.11 when writing and creating a positive sentiment among bulls. The Avalanche funding rate has turned positive for the first time since late July, and some analysts are even anticipating a potential reversal in Avalanche’s fortunes.

AVAX Funding Rate Turns Positive

According to Coinglass data, AVAX’s funding rate has flipped to positive territory, signaling a potential change in market dynamics.

AVAX Funding Rate

A positive funding rate in futures trading typically indicates increased demand for long positions, as traders are willing to pay a premium to hold them. This bullish pressure suggests that more traders are betting on AVAX’s price rising rather than falling, a notable shift from the bearish sentiment that has dominated the market in recent weeks.

The current positive funding rate for AVAX indicates that bullish sentiment is gaining momentum, which could foreshadow a breakout if bulls successfully push the price above the crucial $23 level.

October 2023 Vs. August 2024: Avalanche AT A Turning Point?

Buyers hope a breakout above $22.79 will change the weekly bearish structure, and some investors are looking back to October 2023 for similarities. 

Analysts like Daghan on X anticipate a reversal and have compared the current market conditions and those in October 2023, just before Avalanche’s price skyrocketed from $8 to this year’s peak of $65 by March 18th. 

AVAX/USDT 3D price action

In his comparison, Daghan explains the intensity of AVAX’s uptrends after long and deep corrections, showing how fast its price moves after it shifts from bearish to bullish.

AVAX/USDT 3D price chart

Currently, Avalanche is trading at $22.11 and must break above this key resistance level to challenge the supply zone around $22.79 and establish a new higher high. If bulls can reclaim the $23 level, it could signal a broader market recovery for AVAX. However, if the market fails to hold above the August 5 low at $19.53, there is a risk of a downside move, potentially retesting demand below $17.50, with the next bearish target at $15.

Avalanche 4h price chart

As the funding rate signals a possible shift in market sentiment, the coming days will be critical in determining whether AVAX can break free from its current consolidation and resume its upward trajectory.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview



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